Service Plays Thursday 09/17/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX


Georgia Tech at Miami (FL)
The Yellow Jackets look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games as a road underdog between 3 1/2 and 10 points. Georgia Tech is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricanes favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+5). Here are Thursday's and Friday's picks. Note: I will post all of this week's picks later today.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17

Game 101-102: Georgia Tech at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 92.709; Miami (FL) 93.473
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 1; 52
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 5; 54
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+5); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF LONG SHEET


Week 3


Thursday, September 17


GEORGIA TECH (2 - 0) at MIAMI (1 - 0) - 9/17/2009, 7:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF SHORT SHEET


Week 3

Thursday, 9/17/2009

GEORGIA TECH at MIAMI, 7:45 PM ET ESPN
GEORGIA TECH: 19-6 ATS off a Thursday game
MIAMI: 0-7 ATS after gaining 375+ passing yards

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF ADDITIONAL


Week 3

Trend Report

Thursday, September 17

7:30 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. MIAMI
Georgia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA DUNKEL


THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17

Game 605-606: Indiana at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 110.517; Washington 107.572
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 141 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-1 1/2); Under

Game 607-608: Phoenix at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 116.382; San Antonio 113.162
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 184 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 178
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA LONG SHEET


Thursday, September 17


INDIANA (22 - 12) at WASHINGTON (16 - 18) - 9/17/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 72-102 ATS (-40.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
INDIANA is 40-65 ATS (-31.5 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
INDIANA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 176-225 ATS (-71.5 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 105-142 ATS (-51.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 109-145 ATS (-50.5 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 109-142 ATS (-47.2 Units) after a division game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 10-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (23 - 11) at SAN ANTONIO (15 - 19) - 9/17/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in August or September games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-6 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-6 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

POINTWISE FOOTBALL PROPHESY

THURSDAY
Georgia Tech 38 - MIAMI-FLA - 27 - (7:45 - ESPN) -- 'Cane QB Harris was just
spectacular in barnburning win over FlaSt (386 PYs). But Tech represents 2nd of
brutal 4-game start, with VaTech, & Okla on deck. Jackets have run for 636 yds
so far, but allowing 30 ppg in last 7 lined tilts. However, UM has been home flop.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Gold Sheet

*Georgia Tech 32 - MIAMI-FLORIDA 30—Containing Tech’s tricky triple-
option attack requires defenders disciplined enough to stick with their pre-snap
assignments. Young, impetuous Miami stop unit was unable to do so in LY’s
nationally-televised undressing at Atlanta. Now, Hurricanes’ maturing HC
Shannon, unflappable soph QB Harris, and athletic defense a year older, but
still not quite wise enough to prevail over crafty Jacket mentor Paul Johnson &
his deeeeeep platoon of play-making RBs. CABLE TV—ESPN
(08-GA. TECH 41-Miami 23...M.20-18 G.56/472 M.25/105 M.23/38/2/283 G.4/7/0/46 G.1 M.0)
(08-TECH -3' 41-23 07-Tech +2' 17-14 06-TECH -4' 30-23...SR: Georgia Tech 10-4)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Sports Reporter

GEORGIA TECH over *MIAMI-FL by 2

GEORGIA TECH 33-31.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

(14) Georgia Tech (2-0, 0-1 ATS) at (20) Miami, Fla. (1-0 SU and ATS)

The Hurricanes return to the field for the first time since their thrilling Labor Day victory at Florida State as they host Georgia Tech in an ACC Coastal Division showdown at LandShark Stadium.

Miami held off the Seminoles 38-34 as a six-point underdog on Sept. 7, surviving when Florida State’s fourth-and-goal pass in the end zone barely fell incomplete as time expired. QB Jacory Harris, battling through an arm injury sustained in the second half, had a solid game, going 21-for-34 for 386 yards with two TDs and two INTs. The Hurricanes, who had lost their final three games of 2008 (1-2 ATS), rolled up 476 yards on offense, but the defense surrendered 403 (109 rushing).

Georgia Tech jumped out to a 24-0 lead in the first 20 minutes of last Thursday’s game against Clemson, then gave up 27 unanswered points before rallying with two late-fourth-quarter field goals to pull out a 30-27 victory. The Yellow Jackets, who failed to cover as a five-point home favorite, had 418 yards (301 rushing), but they went just 3-for-14 on third down, and the defense surrendered 386 yards (261 passing).

Georgia Tech ran roughshod over Miami in last year’s 41-23 rout as a three-point home favorite, gashing the Hurricanes for 472 rushing yards on 56 carries (8.4 yards per rush) as the Jackets raced out to a 41-10 fourth-quarter lead. One bright spot for Miami was Harris, who came off the bench and went 13-for-18 for 162 yards with two fourth-quarter TD passes (and one INT).

Going back to 2005, Georgia Tech has won four straight in this rivalry both SU and ATS, including a pair of narrow victories in South Beach (14-10 as a 19-point underdog in 2005 and 17-14 as a two-point pup in 2007). The winner has gotten the cash in all six meetings this decade, with the visitor going 4-2 SU and ATS.

The Yellow Jackets have now failed to cover in five of their last seven marquee Thursday matchups, and they’re 1-4 ATS in their last five after a SU victory. On the bright side, Georgia Tech is on positive ATS runs of 6-1 on the road, 6-2 as an underdog, 12-4-1 as a road underdog), 4-1 in September, 15-6 after a non-cover and 8-2 when catching between 3½ and 10 points on the highway.

Despite the upset victory at Florida State, Miami sports nothing but negative ATS trends, including 13-32-1 at home, 20-43-1 as a favorite, 10-31-1 as a home chalk, 1-10 when laying 3½ to 10 points, 8-18-1 in ACC action, 8-23 after a spread-cover and 3-13 after a bye week.

Georgia Tech topped the total in last week’s win over Clemson, but the team is still on “under” runs of 4-1 on the road, 27-10-1 as an underdog, 19-7 as a road pup and 15-6 on Thursday. Similarly, the ‘Canes carry “under” streaks of 37-18-1 at home, 9-3 on Thursday, 4-1 against winning teams and 12-4 after an ATS triumph. Finally, the under is 4-2 in the last six meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: GEORGIA TECH and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (86-59) at Boston (86-58)

Josh Beckett (15-6, 3.82 ERA) gets the ball for the Red Sox, who go for a three-game series sweep of the Angels, who will counter with Ervin Santana (7-8, 5.52) at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox improved to 7-0 on their current homestand with last night’s 8-7, come-from-behind victory, scoring two runs in the bottom of the ninth to win it. Boston has built up a 6½-game lead on Texas in the wild-card race, and Terry Francona’s club enters tonight on positive streaks of 51-19 at Fenway Park, 37-16 on Thursday, 21-8 versus right-handed starters and 5-0 in the third game of a series.

Los Angeles has now dropped three in a row and four of five, coming the heels of a four-game winning streak. The Angels are still on impressive runs of 57-30 overall, 27-15 on the road, 47-26 against the A.L. East (12-6 last 18), 39-14 in the third game of a series and 28-10 on Thursday.

The season series is now tied at 4-4 between these teams, but Los Angeles is still 13-7 in the last 20 meetings overall (6-4 at Fenway).

Santana has allowed three earned runs or fewer and pitched at least six innings in six of his last seven trips to the mound. That includes Saturday’s home start against the White Sox when the right-hander allowed three runs (two earned) in seven innings, but failed to get a decision in Los Angeles’ 4-3 loss. The Angels have lost four straight games behind Santana, scoring a total of seven runs.

On the bright side, the Angels are 6-2 in Santana’s last eight outings on the highway, where the 26-year-old is 6-3 with a 4.39 ERA in 11 outings this season. Santana is 1-2 with a 5.67 ERA in five regular-season starts against the Red Sox, and he also got knocked around in a home playoff start against Boston last October, allowing five runs in 5 1/3 innings, with L.A. falling 7-5.

Beckett gave up one run on four hits in five innings of Saturday’s 9-1 rout of Tampa Bay, the right-hander’s first win in exactly a month. After an ugly four-start stretch in which he gave up 25 runs (24 earned), including 12 home runs, in 24 1/3 innings (8.88 ERA), Beckett has settled down in his last two outings, giving up four runs (no homers) in 12 innings (3.00 ERA). The former Cy Young winner is 9-1 with a 3.42 ERA in 14 starts at Fenway this season.

Behind Beckett, Boston is on runs of 17-7 overall, 12-2 at home and 4-1 on Thursday. However, he’s 0-3 with a 7.03 ERA in his last four starts against the Angels (all Boston losses, including one in the playoffs), after going 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA in his first five starts versus L.A. (with the Red Sox going 4-1).

With Beckett pitching, the over is on runs of 6-1 overall, 5-0 at home and 3-1-2 when facing the Angels at Fenway. The over is also 5-2 in Santana’s last seven road starts and 3-1-1 in his last five against the A.L. East, but Santana’s last four starts overall have stayed low and the under is 6-2-1 in his last nine Thursday outings.

L.A. is riding “under” streaks of 16-4-1 overall, 7-1 on the road and 12-4-1 against right-handed starters, but the over is 13-5-1 in the Halos’ last 19 against the A.L. East. Also, the over is 17-8 in Boston’s last 25 at Fenway and 6-1-1 in its last eight on Thursday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON

 

[brewerfan003]

brandon lang:

25 dime:
georgia tech

 

[motor87]

Axiumsports

September 17th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,258.68

Pick #4- MLB
4)Bet 16.24 to win 14.76 on Chicago/Seattle UNDER 8.5 -110

Pick #5- MLB-
5a)Bet 16.43 to win 14.54 on Cleveland/Oakland UNDER 9 -113

5b)Bet 34.10 to win 30.18 on Cleveland/Oakland UNDER 9 -113

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Georgia Tech

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Marlins Wednesday.

Today it's the Royals. The surplus is 1,295 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo lost with the D'backs and Angels in excru ciating fashion yesterday to go along with a rela tively pain-free defeat with the Cards. God bless the Brewers, who prevented the golden sombrero and allowed Mr. Aitch to end the day only 1,405 pateks in debt.

Today, he'll try a Zack attack -- 10 units on Greinke to mow 'em down in Motown.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
322 - 220 run 59 %

Thurs Chi White Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR THURSDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


KANSAS CITY (GREINKE) +110 (1)

Detroit (Jackson)


Angels (Santana)

BOSTON (BECKETT) -155 (2)


Run Totals

Mets / Atlanta UNDER 8 ½

Kansas City / Detroit UNDER 7 ½

Angels / Boston UNDER 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL

Kansas City at Detroit

The Royals look to build on their 5-2 record in their last 7 games as an underdog. Kansas City is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Bush) 15.784; Cubs (Wells) 15.302
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+155); N/A

Game 953-954: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 13.683; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.392
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-300); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-300); Under

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Figueroa) 13.776; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 16.195
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-265); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-265); Under

Game 957-958: Florida at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 16.128; Cincinnati (Maloney) 15.020
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 959-960: Kansas City at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 15.568; Detroit (Jackson) 14.807
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Over

Game 961-962: Chicago White Sox at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.318; Seattle (Morrow) 16.485
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+135); Under

Game 963-964: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 14.270; Baltimore (Hendrickson) 15.607
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Under

Game 965-966: LA Angels at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 16.529; Boston (Beckett) 15.875
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+155); Over

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 13.884; Oakland (Mortensen) 16.968
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Under

 

[Greenarrowsport]

Wunderdog

Pick: 5 units on Georgia Tech +5.5 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

Georgia Tech coach Paul Johnson was criticized when he said he would make the option offense work in the ACC as many of his detractors said you can't run that offense in the ACC. The ACC was supposed to have the team speed to defeat it. But, his Yellow Jackets put up nine wins last year and opened the season by scoring 24 points on a tough Clemson defense in the first 20 minutes of their ACC opener. They gained over 300 yards on the ground in the process. Georgia Tech only beat Clemson by 3 points however on a late field goal you say? Don't let that fool you. That was a misleading final score. The Yellow Jackets jumped out to a 24-0 lead. After that, the young kids let up and let Clemson close the gap. The reality is, Tech should have won that one by double-digits and because they did not, we get some line value here. Miami pulled off a big underdog upset win at home in their opener vs Florida State. But, as good as that win initially looked for the Canes, it now doesn't look so hot after Florida State, as a 34 point favorite, was losing to Jacksonville State last week with 35 seconds to go! Maybe it was a letdown game for the Noles, but gaining 77 yards on 26 carries at home vs. a team like Jacksonville State says a bit more than that. Miami needed 21 fourth quarter points to win their game vs. the Seminoles, so there is cause for concern for Miami backers here. The Yellow Jackets have been a strong road team with a 6-1 ATS mark in their last seven away games. Miami has not embraced the role of a favorite as they are a pathetic 1-10 ATS in their last 11 as a favorite of 3.5-10 points and the home field advantage has not been present here for quite some time as the Hurricanes are just 10-31 ATS in their last 41 at home. Georgia Tech is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS vs. Miami in ACC meetings, including two outright upsets. And Paul Johnson coached teams are 15-5 ATS as a road underdog. I like Georgia Tech in this one